Autumn has arrived, and crypto investors are now turning their attention to the fourth quarter (Q4). A big question looms: will this period mark the beginning of a long-awaited bullish trend, or will market volatility continue to dominate?

Historically, Q4 has often been a strong period for the crypto market, especially Bitcoin (BTC). This condition is often linked to increased investment activity towards the end of the year and a strengthening of positive sentiment. However, analysts warn that past performance does not guarantee future price movements.

According to data from the Crypto Market Report, there is a strong correlation between market sentiment driven by institutional adoption and significant price movements. Alex Chen, a senior analyst at Blockchain Research Group, stated, "As more institutional players enter this space, price movements become more structured but also more sensitive to global macroeconomic news." He added that this factor will be a primary determinant in Q4.

This statement is in line with a review from Investor Kripto magazine, which highlighted that "the current market cycle is more complex, influenced by inflation, interest rate policies, and geopolitical uncertainty, not just by the Bitcoin halving cycle."

Although positive signals are starting to emerge, such as capital inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and increased liquidity, investors are still advised to be cautious. Any bullish sentiment can quickly reverse if there are economic or regulatory surprises. Therefore, good risk management and a deep understanding of fundamental factors are key to navigating the market for the rest of the year.